GNGTS 2013 - Atti del 32° Convegno Nazionale

In this study, significant (according with the rules given in Fig. 2) TIR anomalies identified using the RST approach (fully described in Tramutoli et al. , 2005) have been considered for their possible space-time correlation with earthquakes (with Ml>4) occurrence within pre- selected space-time windows. The used rules for success/failure evaluation were substantially the same accepted for the planned experimentation at CSEP (USC, http://www.cseptesting . org/). A false positive rate of 25% (even less in selected area) and a missing rate of 33% (considering that the continuity of the observation is prevented by the presence of clouds) seems a more than encouraging result to be confirmed by studies (in part already started) on longer period of time and different geographic areas. References Aliano, C.; Corrado, R.; Filizzola, C.; Genzano, N.; Pergola, N.; Tramutoli, V. (2008). Robust TIR satellite techniques for monitoring earthquake active regions: limits, main achievements and perspectives . Annals of Geophysics, 51 , 303- 317. Corrado, R.; Caputo, R.; Filizzola, C.; Pergola, N.; Pietrapertosa, C.; Tramutoli, V. (2005). Seismically active area monitoring by robust TIR satellite techniques: a sensitivity analysis on low magnitude earthquakes in Greece and Turkey . Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 5 , 101-108. Dobrovolsky, I. R., Zubkov, S. I., and Myachkin, V. I., (1979): Estimation of the size of earthquake preparation zones . Pure Appl. Geophys., 117 , 1025-1044. Eneva, M., D. Adams, N. Wechsler, Y. Ben-Zion and O. Dor (2008). Thermal Properties of Faults in Southern California from Remote Sensing Data , Report sponsored by NASA under contract to SAIC No. NNH05CC13C, March, 2008, 70 pp. Filizzola, C.; Pergola, N.; Pietrapertosa, C.; Tramutoli, V. (2004). Robust satellite techniques for seismically active areas monitoring: a sensitivity analysis on September 7, 1999 Athens’s earthquake . Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 29 , 517-527. Geller R.J. (1997). Earthquake prediction: a critical review , Geophys. J. Int., 131 ,pp 425-450. Genzano N., Aliano C., Filizzola C., Pergola N., and Tramutoli V. (2007). Robust satellite technique for monitoring seismically active areas: The case of Bhuj-Gujarat earthquake . Tectonophysics, vol. 431 , pp. 197–210. Genzano, N.; Aliano, C.; Corrado, R.; Filizzola, C.; Lisi, M.; Mazzeo, G.; Paciello, R.; Pergola, N.; Tramutoli, V. (2009). RST analysis of MSG-SEVIRI TIR radiances at the time of the Abruzzo 6 April 2009 earthquake. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 9 , 2073-2084. Halle, W.; Oertel, D.; Schlotzhauer, G.; Zhukov, B. (2008). Early warning of earthquakes by space-borne infrared sensors [Erdbebenfrüherkennung mit InfraRot Sensoren aus dem Weltraum] . pp. 1-106. Melbourne, T., Carmichael, I., DeMets, C., Hudnut, K., Sanchez, O., Stock, J., Suarez, G. and Webb, F, (1997). The geodetic signature of the Mw=8.0 Oct. 9, 1995 Jalisco subduction earthquake . Geophysical Research Let., 24 , 715-718. Pulinets S.A., (2009). Lithosphere-Atmosphere-Ionosphere Coupling (LAIC) Model. In Electromagnetic phenomena associated with Earthquakes, Research Signpost, Japan, Chapter 9, 235-253. Revil, A. and Glover, P.W.J., (1997). Theory of ionic surface electrical conduction in porous media. Phys. Rev. B, 55 (3), 1757-1773. Tramutoli, V. (1998). Robust AVHRR Techniques (RAT) for Environmental Monitoring: theory and applications . Proceedings of SPIE, vol. 3496 , pp. 101-113. Tramutoli, V. (2005). Robust Satellite Techniques (RST) for natural and environmental hazards monitoring and mitigation: ten year of successful applications , Proceending of The 9th International Symposium on Physical Measurements and Signatures in Remote Sensing, IGSNRR, Beijing, China,XXXVI (7/W20), pp. 792-795. Tramutoli, V. (2007) Robust Satellite Techniques (RST) for Natural and Environmental Hazards Monitoring and Mitigation: Theory and Applications Proceeding of 2007 International Workshop on the Analysis of Multi-temporal Remote Sensing Images, pp. 1-6. Tramutoli, V.; Cuomo, V.; Filizzola, C.; Pergola, N.; Pietrapertosa, C. (2005). Assessing the potential of thermal infrared satellite surveys for monitoring seismically active areas: The case of Kocaeli (İzmit) earthquake, August 17, 1999. Remote Sensing of Environment, 96 , 409-426. Tramutoli, V.; Aliano, C.; Corrado, R.; Filizzola, C.; Genzano, N.; Lisi, M.; Martinelli, G.; Pergola, N. On the possible origin of Thermal Infrared Radiation (TIR) anomalies in earthquake-prone areas observed using Robust Satellite Techniques (RST). Chemical Geology 2012, 339 , 157-168 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemgeo.2012.10.042. 152 GNGTS 2013 S essione 2.1