GNGTS 2018 - 37° Convegno Nazionale

GNGTS 2018 S essione 2.1 299 international experiences for the tsunami risk (e.g., New Zealand adopted similar levels), as well as national experiences for the management of other types of hazard/risk. As a next step for the improvement of the national planning against the tsunami risk, the MPTS18 S-PTHA is now being prepared. The basic methodology is the same as that adopted for the TSUMAPS-NEAM model. However, a finer scale needs to be achieved for the national model. This finer scale applies to the parameterization of the tsunami sources and to the discretization of the model output along the coastlines of the Italian territory. Notably, the resolution increase of the source parameter discretization (concerning source position, strike, rake, which were the rougher parameters in the TSUMAPS-NEAM model) is based on the disaggregation of the TSUMAPS-NEAM results, and it is selectively applied only where needed. Furthermore, a higher-resolution set of national tsunami amplification factors has been devised on purpose. Finally, the MPTS18 methodology and results are being discussed in the framework of a participatory review process coordinated by the DPC with a panel of experts appointed by the Head of the Department in accordance with suggestions provided by the Major Risks Commission. When the MPTS18 model will be released, it is desirable that the national planning will be updated accordingly. Acknowledgements. The TSUMAPS-NEAM Project (http://www.tsumaps-neam.eu/) is co-financed by the European Union Civil Protection Mechanism, Agreement Number: ECHO/SUB/2015/718568/PREV26. The MPTS18 is co-financed by the DPC-INGVAgreement 2018. MPTS18, the Italian S-PTHA, is realized in the framework of the annual agreements DPC-INGV B2. References Davies G., Griffin J., Løvholt F., Glimsdal S., Harbitz C., Thio H.K., Lorito S., Basili R., Selva J., Geist E. and Baptista M.A.; 2017: A global probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment from earthquake sources. In: Scourse, E. M., Chapman, N. A., Tappin, D. R. & Wallis, S. R. (eds) Tsunamis: Geology, Hazards and Risks. Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 456 , https://doi.org/10.1144/SP456.5. DPCM; 2017: Direttiva Del Presidente Del Consiglio Dei Ministri 17 febbraio 2017: Istituzione del Sistema d’Allertamento nazionale per i Maremoti generati da sisma - SiAM. (17A03755) (GU Serie Generale n.128 del 05-06-2017). http://www.gazzettaufficiale.it/atto/serie_generale/caricaDettaglioAtto/originario?atto. dataPubblicazioneGazzetta=2017-06-05&atto.codiceRedazionale=17A03755 Glimsdal S., Løvholt F., Harbitz C., Orefice S., Romano F., Brizuela B., Lorito S., Hoechner A. and BabeykoA.; 2017: Development of Local Amplification Factors in the NEAM Region for Production of Regional Tsunami Hazard Maps. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 19 , EGU2017-7657-1. Mac as J., Castro M.J., Ortega S., Escalante C. and González-Vida J.M.; 2017: Performance Benchmarking of Tsunami-HySEA Model for NTHMP’s Inundation Mapping Activities. Pure Appl. Geophys., 174 , 3147–3183, doi: 10.1007/s00024-017-1583-1. Molinari I., Tonini R., Lorito S., Piatanesi A., Romano F., Melini D., Hoechner A., Gonzàlez-Vida J.M., Maciás J., Castro M.J. and de la Asunción M.; 2016: Fast evaluation of tsunami scenarios: uncertainty assessment for a Mediterranean Sea database, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16 , 2593-2602, doi:10.5194/nhess16-2593-2016. Selva J., Tonini R., Molinari I., Tiberti M.M., Romano F., Grezio A., Melini D., Piatanesi A., Basili R. and Lorito S.; 2016: Quantification of source uncertainties in Seismic Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis (SPTHA). Geophys. J. Int., 205 , 1780-1803, doi:10.1093/gji/ggw107. Selva J., Lorito S., Orefice S., Brizuela B., Iqbal S., Romano F., Volpe M., Tonini R., Basili R., Tiberti M.M., Løvholt F., Glimsdal S., Harbitz C., Hoechner A., Babeyko A., Armigliato A., Pagnoni G., Tinti S., Omira R., Acar S., Yalciner A., Aytore B., Dogulu N., Cabuk O., Kanoglu U., Yalciner B., Necmioglu O., Ozer Sozdinler C., Ozel M. and Zaytsev A.; 2017: Quantifying and managing uncertainty in tsunami risk assessment methods: application to the ASTARTE test sites. ASTARTE EU-FP7 Project (603839), Deliverable D8.39, http://www.astarte-project.eu/ files/astarte/documents/deliverables/d8-39/ASTARTE_D839.pdf. TSUMAPS-NEAMTI Team, Selva J., Hoechner A., Iqbal S.M., Lorito S., Thio H.K. (2017). Managing subjectivity & elicitations in the TSUMAPS-NEAM project. Abstract at the 36° Convegno Nazionale GNGTS, 14-16/11/2017, Trieste, Italy.

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