GNGTS 2024 - Atti del 42° Convegno Nazionale

Session 2.3 GNGTS 2024 cooperaton between countries are needed to align risk reducton with sustainable development trajectories and ensure balanced, resilient pathways ahead. Dealing with the complex interconnected challenges of risk, climate change and development requires approaches that embrace uncertainty and evolve over tme. Systems thinking acknowledges the high degree of unpredictability from emergent, nonlinear dynamics between interactng social, ecological, technological and infrastructure components. Events ofen occur in unforeseen ways and new risks can materialize that previous risk assessments did not antcipate. Contnuous learning and adaptatons are necessary to incorporate evolving understandings of complexity into fexible management strategies. Surprises are inevitable, so building in redundancy, modular solutons and feedback loops helps sustainable development pathways absorb disrupton. Cross-disciplinary integraton of perspectves from social, natural and engineering sciences also aids accountng for unknown unknowns (Grimaz et al., 2024). Scenario methodologies and adaptve governance enable recalibraton of policies and projects to surprise outcomes within an overall risk-informed strategic directon. Such innovaton and preparedness help promote resilient pathways despite a substantal immeasurable component of risks in complex, evolving systems. In additon, the UNDRR Global Assessment Report 2022 (UNDRR, 2022) recognizes that achieving transformatve change to build disaster and climate resilience requires transforming governance systems. Traditonal top-down, rigid governance approaches are inadequate to address complex, interconnected risk in a volatle world. The report advocates for more fexible, inclusive and collaboratve modes of governance termed "transforming governance". The report emphasizes the need for transforming governance, taking into account aspects of systemic risk, uncertainty and the needs to take actons in order to build resilience and achieve the UN sustainable Development Goals. Discussing on the key aspects highlighted by the UN Agenda 2023, the Sendai Framework and the Global Assessment Report 2022, the researchers of the Safety and Protecton Intersectoral Laboratory (SPRINT-Lab) of the Polytechnic Department of Engineering and Architecture at the University of Udine, also UNESCO Chair on Intersectoral Safety for Disaster Risk Reducton and Resilience, started an interdisciplinary process of discussions to work across silos and face the issues related to the resilience to disasters for a sustainable development. In detail, this paper aims to rise atenton on the need to improve communicaton for transforming governance, considering the disaster preventon, preparedness, response, and recovery, in order to pass from an approach focused mainly on the risk assessment to a risk-informed approach fnalized to reach safety. Governance as “play the game”. In the Global Assessment Report 2022, the transiton to systemic risk governance is presented through the metaphor of “playing the game” (North, 2008; Shepsle, 2012). In this report, the metaphor of "playing the game" is employed to denote the systems, arrangements, structures, strategies, and processes involved in agreeing upon and formulatng rules, laws, and policies, as well as making and implementng collectve decisions. These elements are not rigid and can vary. Efectve governance models have the ability to adapt, facilitatng prompt responses to crises and monitoring gradual changes, allowing for the implementaton of longer-term measures (IRGC, 2018; UNDRR, 2022). Overall, transforming governance through collaboratve, mult-level "game playing" is key to adaptvely governing complex, multcausal and evolving disaster and climate risks. Traditonally, governance has followed a top-down, segmented approach to addressing societal challenges like risk. Problems are understood through the narrow lens of separate government